UPDATED: 08-28-26 11:10 PDT

stick New Mexico
  
New Mexico            
W-L: ( 9- 4) PR = 77.5098

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 A Michigan B10 ( 9- 4, 84.2) 17-34 906 H Idaho St 32-22 912 A UCLA B10 ( 3- 9, 75.2) 35-10 927 H NM St CUSA ( 4- 8, 65.1) 38-20 1003 A San Jose St MIDW ( 3- 9, 69.0) 28-35 1011 A Boise State MIDW ( 9- 4, 80.1) 25-41 1018 H Nevada MIDW ( 4- 8, 71.4) 24-22 1025 H Utah St MIDW ( 7- 7, 75.5) 33-14 1101 A UNLV MIDW ( 8- 5, 75.5) 40-35 1115 H Colorado St MIDW ( 2-11, 64.4) 20-17 1122 A Air Force MIDW ( 5- 8, 72.4) 20- 3 1128 H San Diego St MIDW ( 8- 5, 77.5) 23-17 1226 N Minnesota B10 ( 8- 5, 76.8) 17-20

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   830 A Michigan               17-34     -17   -12    -     -2.01
   912 A UCLA                   35-10      25    -3    +++   16.91
   927 H NM St                  38-20      18    18           0.00
  1003 A San Jose St            28-35      -7     3    ---  -10.27
  1011 A Boise State            25-41     -16    -8    ---   -6.16
  1018 H Nevada                 24-22       2    11    ---   -9.36
  1025 H Utah St                33-14      19     7    +++    6.76
  1101 A UNLV                   40-35       5    -3    +++    8.24
  1115 H Colorado St            20-17       3    18    ---  -11.00
  1122 A Air Force              20- 3      17     0    +++   14.14
  1128 H San Diego St           23-17       6     5           0.77
  1226 N Minnesota              17-20      -3     1    -     -3.70

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1003 A San Jose St            28-35      -7     3    ---  -10.27
  1011 A Boise State            25-41     -16    -8    ---   -6.16
  1018 H Nevada                 24-22       2    11    ---   -9.36
  1115 H Colorado St            20-17       3    18    ---  -11.00
   830 A Michigan               17-34     -17   -12    -     -2.01
  1226 N Minnesota              17-20      -3     1    -     -3.70

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   912 A UCLA                   35-10      25    -3    +++   16.91
  1025 H Utah St                33-14      19     7    +++    6.76
  1101 A UNLV                   40-35       5    -3    +++    8.24
  1122 A Air Force              20- 3      17     0    +++   14.14

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Michigan        ( 9- 4, 84.2)    17-34      -15.66      35.56       5.26         1.06            -5.53
   3 A UCLA            ( 3- 9, 75.2)    35-10      -24.74      26.48       5.26         1.06            67.45
   3 H NM St           ( 4- 8, 65.1)    38-20      -34.81      16.41      -5.26         1.06            23.69
   3 A San Jose St     ( 3- 9, 69.0)    28-35      -30.92      20.30       5.26         1.06           -13.63
   3 A Boise State     ( 9- 4, 80.1)    25-41      -19.81      31.41       5.26         1.06            -7.73
   3 H Nevada          ( 4- 8, 71.4)    24-22      -28.49      22.73      -5.26         1.06            37.11
   3 H Utah St         ( 7- 7, 75.5)    33-14      -24.37      26.85      -5.26         1.06            45.89
   3 A UNLV            ( 8- 5, 75.5)    40-35      -24.41      26.81       5.26         1.06            68.15
   3 H Colorado St     ( 2-11, 64.4)    20-17      -35.45      15.77      -5.26         1.06            22.33
   3 A Air Force       ( 5- 8, 72.4)    20- 3      -27.51      23.71       5.26         1.06            61.56
   3 H San Diego St    ( 8- 5, 77.5)    23-17      -22.36      28.86      -5.26         1.06            50.15
   3 N Minnesota       ( 8- 5, 76.8)    17-20      -23.09      28.13      -0.00         1.06           -12.27
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       337.17

winning pts = 376.3304 losing points = -39.1568

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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